Mortgage Market Outlook 2026

๐Ÿ“ˆ Mortgage Market Outlook 2026

What Buyers, Movers & Remortgagers Can Expect This Year


Quick Summary

  • Mortgage rates are expected toย continue gradually fallingย through earlyโ€“mid 2026.
  • Lenders are softening affordability models as inflation eases.
  • More new properties are coming to market thanks to planning reforms.
  • Remortgagers should seeย better product-transfer ratesย and more competition from challenger banks.
  • First-time buyers could see the best affordability conditions since 2021.

1 | Mortgage Rates in 2026 โ€” The Big Picture

2026 starts on a much calmer footing than recent years.
The key forces shaping rates include:

โœ” Lower inflation

Inflation has been trending down, reducing the cost of lender funding.

โœ” Potential further Bank Rate cuts

Tracker mortgages may fall again if the Bank makes additional cuts in Q1โ€“Q2.

โœ” Stronger lender competition

Banks typically sharpen pricing in January and April as they chase early-year targets.

โœ” Calmer economic outlook

No major shocks = steady pricing improvements.

Expectation:
Rates should continue drifting down, not collapsing โ€” but enough to make borrowing noticeably cheaper than in 2024โ€“25.


2 | What First-Time Buyers Can Expect in 2026

2026 could be one of the best years for first-time buyers in a long time.

Hereโ€™s why:

โœ” Better affordability

Lower household costs and improving wage growth strengthen borrowing power.

โœ” More new-build supply

Planning reforms and regeneration push more starter homes onto the market.

โœ” Incentives returning

Builders often launch Januaryโ€“March incentives, including contributions to mortgage costs.

โœ” Less competition early in the year

Many buyers wait until spring โ€” making early 2026 a great window to move quickly.

Overall: a very encouraging year for FTBs.


3 | What Home Movers Can Expect

Movers can expect a more predictable and balanced market in 2026.

Benefits for movers:

  • More stock entering the market
  • Less frantic bidding than pre-2023
  • Stable valuations
  • Better mortgage portability and product-transfer options

If youโ€™re upsizing, lower rates + higher affordability could be a perfect combination.


4 | Remortgaging in 2026

If your fixed deal ends this year:

โœ” Expect cheaper remortgage rates

Especially on 5-year fixes.

โœ” Product transfers remain competitive

Banks often give strong retention offers to keep customers.

โœ” Better affordability for debt consolidation

Lower cost-of-living assumptions help borderline cases.

โœ” Improved valuations in many regions

Stabilising property prices help improve loan-to-value bands.

Tip:
Start checking options 6 months before your rate ends โ€” this gives you time to lock in a rate now and re-book if cheaper options appear later.


5 | What Landlords Should Expect

2026 is a more stable year for landlords after turbulent tax and rate changes.

โœ” Cheaper SPV company mortgage rates

As fixed-rate funding improves.

โœ” Stronger rental demand in regeneration zones

Budget 2025 investment boosts long-term yields.

โœ” More predictable valuations

Great for remortgaging or expanding portfolios.

โœ” Ongoing tax pressures

Some landlords will still consider SPV structures for efficiency.

Overall, itโ€™s a more positive and predictable year for property investors.


6 | House Prices in 2026

Most analysts expect:

โœ” Slight growth in many regions

Low single-digit increases.

โœ” Stronger activity in Midlands, North West, Scotland & South Wales

Driven by new jobs and regeneration.

โœ” Stabilised London & South East market

After years of volatility.

โœ” New listings up vs 2025

Giving buyers more choice.

2026 looks like a balanced year, not a boom or bust.


7 | Should You Act Now or Wait?

Act now if:

  • Your deposit is ready
  • You want to get ahead of spring competition
  • Your fixed rate is ending soon
  • You benefit from falling rates

Wait if:

  • Youโ€™re close to improving your LTV band
  • You need time to tidy bank statements
  • Youโ€™re expecting a pay rise soon
  • Your credit needs a quick refresh

Most buyers will benefit from starting early, even if they complete later in the year.


8 | The Bottom Line

2026 begins with more stability, more confidence and more opportunity than any year since before the pandemic.

Expect:

  • Falling rates
  • Better affordability
  • More homes
  • Stronger lender competition
  • A calmer, healthier property market

For buyers, movers and remortgagers, 2026 is shaping up to be a genuinely promising year.


๐Ÿ“ž Want to Check Your 2026 Mortgage Options?

We donโ€™t provide mortgage advice directly โ€” but we can introduce you to an FCA-authorised specialist who can:

  • Check your 2026 borrowing power
  • Compare the latest rates
  • Help prepare a strong Agreement in Principle
  • Review remortgage and product-transfer options
  • Suggest the best timing for your situation

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